kigiranOriental StudiesOriental Studies2619-09902619-1008Federal State Budgetary Institution of Science «Kalmyk Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences» (KalmSC RAS)10.22162/2619-0990-2025-80-4-821-835kigiran-6123Research ArticleВСЕОБЩАЯ ИСТОРИЯМиграция, обусловленная изменением климата, в дельте реки Меконг во Вьетнаме — вызовы для устойчивого развития регионаClimate Change-Related Migration in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam — Challenges to Regional Sustainable Developmenthttps://orcid.org/0009-0006-8199-022XФыонг АньФан ТхиPhuong AnhPhan Thi

кандидат наук (политология), преподаватель

PhD (Political Science), Lecturer

ptpanh@ctu.edu.vnhttps://orcid.org/0009-0005-1223-5522Минь ФыонгДанг ТхиMinh PhuongDang Thi

PhD (История), преподаватель

PhD (History), Lecturer

dangthiminhphuong@iuh.edu.vnhttps://orcid.org/0009-0005-9740-0290Минь ХьепНгоMinh HiepNgo

PhD (История), сотрудник исследовательского института

Duy Tan University (254, Nguyen Van Linh St., 550000 Danang, Socialist Republic of Vietnam)

ngominhhiep@dtu.edu.vnhttps://orcid.org/0009-0006-9558-7626Тхи ТуйНгуенThi TuyNguyen

PhD (История), преподаватель

PhD (History), Lecturer

nttuy@ufm.edu.vnhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2527-8186Тхи ХуенБуйThi HuyenBui

PhD (История), преподаватель

PhD (History), Lecturer

huyenbt@ueh.edu.vnУниверситет Кан Тхо (ул. 3/2, квартал Тан Ан, 94000 Кан Тхо, Вьетнам)ВьетнамCan Tho University (3/2 St., Tan An Ward, 94000 Can Tho, Socialist Republic of Vietnam)Viet NamПромышленный университет Хошимина (12, ул. Нгуен Ван Бао, квартал Хан Тонг, 700000 Хошимин, Вьетнам)ВьетнамIndustrial University of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam (12, Nguyen Van Bao St., Hanh Thong Ward, 700000 Ho Chi Minh, Socialist Republic of Vietnam)Viet NamУниверситет Дуй Тан, Институт социально-экономических исследований (254, ул. Нгуен Ван Линь, 550000 Дананг, Вьетнам)Viet NamУниверситет финансов и маркетинга (UFM) (778, ул. Нгуен Кием, квартал Дук Ньуан, 700000 Хошимин, Вьетнам)ВьетнамUniversity of Finance – Marketing (UFM) (778, Nguyen Kiem St., Duc Nhuan Ward, 70000 Ho Chi Minh, Socialist Republic of Vietnam)Viet NamУниверситет экономики Хошимина (UEH) (ул. Нгуен Три Фыонг, квартал Диен Хонг, 700000 Хошимин, Вьетнам)ВьетнамUniversity of Economics Ho Chi Minh City (UEH) (279, Nguyen Tri Phuong St., Dien Hong Ward, 700000 Ho Chi Minh, Socialist Republic of Vietnam)Viet Nam202519012026184821835Copyright © Фыонг Ань Ф., Минь Фыонг Д., Минь Хьеп Н., Тхи Туй Н., Тхи Хуен Б., 20262026Фыонг Ань Ф., Минь Фыонг Д., Минь Хьеп Н., Тхи Туй Н., Тхи Хуен Б.Phuong Anh P., Minh Phuong D., Minh Hiep N., Thi Tuy N., Thi Huyen B.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://kigiran.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/6123

Введение. Дельта Меконга во Вьетнаме является ключевым сельскохозяйственным регионом, жизненно важным для национальной продовольственной безопасности. В последние годы регион столкнулся со значительной миграцией населения, вызванной экономическими трудностями и последствиями изменения климата, такими как засухи, засоление почв и экстремальные погодные явления. Настоящее исследование направлено на изучение взаимосвязи между изменением климата и миграцией в дельте Меконга, а также ее влияния на устойчивое развитие региона. Методы. Используя политико-экологический подход, исследование анализирует количественные и качественные данные из Переписи населения и жилищ 2019 г. и Годового отчета о состоянии экономики дельты Меконга 2022 г. Оценены миграционные тенденции, демографические изменения и показатели регионального развития для понимания влияния экологических стрессоров на перемещение населения. Результаты. Результаты показывают, что изменение климата является главным фактором миграции, влияя на демографическую структуру, трудовые ресурсы и долгосрочные возможности развития региона. Более 1,3 млн человек покинули дельту Меконга за последнее десятилетие, что создает вызовы для демографической стабильности и социально-экономической устойчивости. Выводы. Рекомендуется укрепление политики устойчивого развития с учетом адаптации к изменению климата и повышение качества и потенциала местных человеческих ресурсов. Эти меры направлены на стабилизацию миграционных процессов, продвижение инклюзивного развития и обеспечение климатоустойчивого роста в дельте Меконга.

Introduction. The Mekong Delta of Vietnam (VMD) is a key agricultural region vital for national food security. In recent years, the region has faced significant outmigration driven by economic challenges and climate change impacts, such as droughts, saltwater intrusion, and extreme weather events. Goals. This study examines the relationship between climate change and migration in the VMD and its implications for sustainable regional development. Methods. Using a political-environmental perspective, the paper analyzes quantitative and qualitative data from the 2019 Population and Housing Census and the 2022 Mekong Delta Economic Annual Report. Migration patterns, demographic shifts, and regional development indicators are assessed to understand how environmental stressors influence human mobility. Results. Findings reveal that climate change is a major driver of migration reshaping population structures, labor supply, and the region’s long-term development capacity. Over 1.3 million people migrated from the VMD in the past decade, posing challenges to demographic stability and socio-economic resilience. Conclusions. The study recommends strengthening climate-adaptive sustainable development policies and enhancing local human resource capacity. These measures aim to stabilize migration, promote inclusive development, and ensure climate-resilient growth in the Mekong Delta.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.